HIV-related mortality in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic: A population-based study.

BACKGROUND: US progress toward ending the HIV epidemic was disrupted during the COVID-19 pandemic. OBJECTIVES: To determine the impact of the pandemic on HIV-related mortality and potential disparities. METHODS: Using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the United States (US) Census Bureau, HIV-related mortality data of decedents aged ≥25 years between 2012 and 2021 were analyzed. Excess HIV-related mortality rates were estimated by determining the difference between observed and projected mortality rates during the pandemic. The trends of mortality were quantified with joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: Of the 79,725 deaths documented in adults aged 25 years and older between 2012 and 2021, a significant downward trend was noted in HIV-related mortality rates before the pandemic, followed by a surge during the pandemic. The observed mortality rates were 18.8% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 13.1%-25.5%) and 25.4% (95%CI: 19.9%-30.4%) higher than the projected values in 2020 and 2021, respectively. Both of these percentages were higher than that in the general population in 2020 (16.4%, 95%CI: 14.9%-17.9%) and 2021 (19.8%, 95%CI: 18.0%-21.6%), respectively. Increased HIV-related mortality was observed across all age subgroups, but those aged 25-44 years demonstrated the greatest relative increase and the lowest COVID-19-related deaths when compared to middle- and old-aged decedents. Disparities were observed across racial/ethnic subgroups and geographic regions. CONCLUSIONS: The pandemic led to a reversal in the attainments made to reduce the prevalence of HIV. Individuals living with HIV were disproportionately affected during the pandemic. Thoughtful policies are needed to address the disparity in excess HIV-related mortality.

Trends of Cirrhosis-related Mortality in the USA during the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Immunocompromised status and interrupted routine care may render patients with cirrhosis vulnerable to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. A nationwide dataset that includes more than 99% of the decedents in the U.S. between April 2012 and September 2021 was used. Projected age-standardized mortality during the pandemic were estimated according to prepandemic mortality rates, stratified by season. Excess deaths were determined by estimating the difference between observed and projected mortality rates. A temporal trend analysis of observed mortality rates was also performed in 0.83 million decedents with cirrhosis between April 2012 and September 2021 was included. Following an increasing trend of cirrhosis-related mortality before the pandemic, with a semiannual percentage change (SAPC) of 0.54% [95% confidence interval (CI): (0.0-1.0%), p=0.036], a precipitous increase with seasonal variation occurred during the pandemic (SAPC 5.35, 95% CI: 1.9-8.9, p=0.005). Significantly increased mortality rates were observed in those with alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), with a SAPC of 8.44 (95% CI: 4.3-12.8, p=0.001) during the pandemic. All-cause mortality of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease rose steadily across the entire study period with a SAPC of 6.79 (95% CI: 6.3-7.3, p<0.001). The decreasing trend of HCV-related mortality was reversed during the pandemic, while there was no significant change in HBV-related deaths. While there was significant increase in COVID-19-related deaths, more than 55% of the excess deaths were the indirect impact of the pandemic. We observed an alarming increase in cirrhosis-related deaths during the pandemic especially for ALD, with evidence in both direct and indirect impact. Our findings have implications on formulating policies for patients with cirrhosis.

Excess psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States: A nationwide population-based study from 2010 to 2021.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about mortality trends among patients with psoriasis (PsO) and psoriatic arthritis (PsA) in the United States. OBJECTIVES: To ascertain mortality trends of PsO and PsA between 2010 and 2021, focusing on the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: We collected data from the National Vital Statistic System and calculated age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and cause-specific mortality for PsO/PsA. We evaluated observed versus predicted mortality for 2020-2021 based on trends from 2010 to 2019 with joinpoint and prediction modelling analysis. RESULTS: Among 5810 and 2150 PsO- and PsA-related deaths between 2010 and 2021, ASMR for PsO dramatically increased between 2010-2019 and 2020-2021 (annual percentage change [APC] 2.07% vs. 15.26%; p < 0.01), leading to a higher observed ASMR (per 100,000 persons) than predicted for 2020 (0.27 vs. 0.22) and 2021 (0.31 vs. 0.23). The excess mortality of PsO was 22.7% and 34.8% higher than that in the general population in 2020 (16.4%, 95% CI: 14.9%-17.9%) and 2021 (19.8%, 95% CI: 18.0%-21.6%) respectively. Notably, the ASMR rise for PsO was most pronounced in the female (APC: 26.86% vs. 12.19% in males) and the middle-aged group (APC: 17.67% vs. 12.47% in the old-age group). ASMR, APC and excess mortality for PsA were similar to PsO. SARS-CoV-2 infection contributed to more than 60% of the excess mortality for PsO and PsA. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals living with PsO and PsA were disproportionately affected during the COVID-19 pandemic. Both ASMRs increased at an alarming rate, with the most pronounced disparities among the female and middle-aged groups.

Excess risk for acute myocardial infarction mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a detrimental impact on the healthcare system. Our study armed to assess the extent and the disparity in excess acute myocardial infarction (AMI)-associated mortality during the pandemic, through the recent Omicron outbreak. Using data from the CDC's National Vital Statistics System, we identified 1 522 669 AMI-associated deaths occurring between 4/1/2012 and 3/31/2022. Accounting for seasonality, we compared age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) for AMI-associated deaths between prepandemic and pandemic periods, including observed versus predicted ASMR, and examined temporal trends by demographic groups and region. Before the pandemic, AMI-associated mortality rates decreased across all subgroups. These trends reversed during the pandemic, with significant rises seen for the youngest-aged females and males even through the most recent period of the Omicron surge (10/2021-3/2022). The SAPC in the youngest and middle-age group in AMI-associated mortality increased by 5.3% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.6%-9.1%) and 3.4% (95% CI: 0.1%-6.8%), respectively. The excess death, defined as the difference between the observed and the predicted mortality rates, was most pronounced for the youngest (25-44 years) aged decedents, ranging from 23% to 34% for the youngest compared to 13%-18% for the oldest age groups. The trend of mortality suggests that age and sex disparities have persisted even through the recent Omicron surge, with excess AMI-associated mortality being most pronounced in younger-aged adults.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on liver disease-related mortality rates in the United States.

BACKGROUND: The pandemic has resulted in an increase of deaths not directly related to COVID-19 infection. We aimed to use a national death dataset to determine the impact of the pandemic on people with liver disease in the U.S, focusing on alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). METHODS: Using data from the National Vital Statistic System from the CDC WONDER platform and ICD-10 codes, we identified deaths associated with liver disease. We evaluated observed versus predicted mortality for 2020-2021 based on trends from 2010-2019 with joinpoint and prediction modeling analysis. RESULTS: Among 626,090 chronic liver disease-related deaths between 2010 and 2021, Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) for ALD dramatically increased between 2010-2019 and 2020-2021 (annual percentage change [APC] 3.5% to 17.6%, P<0.01), leading to a higher observed ASMR (per 100,000 persons) than predicted for 2020 (15.67 vs.13.04) and 2021 (17.42 vs.13.41). ASMR for NAFLD also increased during the pandemic (APC:14.5%), while the rates for hepatitis B and C decreased. Notably, the ASMR rise for ALD was most pronounced in non-Hispanic Whites, Blacks, and Alaska Indians/Native Americans (APC: 11.7%, 10.8%, 18.0%, all P<0.05), with similar but less critical findings for NAFLD while rates were steady for non-Hispanic Asians throughout 2010-2021 (APC: 4.9%). The ASMR rise for ALD was particularly severe for the 25-44 age group (APC: 34.6%, versus 13.7% and 12.6% for 45-64 and ≥65, all P<0.01), which were also all higher than pre-COVID-19 rates (all P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: ASMR for ALD and NAFLD increased at an alarming rate during the COVID-19 pandemic with the largest disparities among the young, non-Hispanic White, and Alaska Indian/Native American populations. LAY SUMMARY: The impact of the pandemic on people with liver disease in the U.S remains unclear. This study indicated that age-standardized mortality rates for alcohol associated liver disease and non-alcohol fatty liver disease greatly accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic with the largest disparities among the young, non-Hispanic White, and Alaska Indian/Native American populations. Increasing awareness about the care importance of chronic liver disease in specific populations must be prioritized.

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Years of Potential Life Loss Among Patients With Cirrhosis During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States.

INTRODUCTION: Our aim was to evaluate the impact of race/ethnicity on cirrhosis-related premature death during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: We obtained cirrhosis-related death data (n = 872,965, January 1, 2012-December 31, 2021) from the US National Vital Statistic System to calculate age-standardized mortality rates and years of potential life lost (YPLL) for premature death aged 25-64 years. RESULTS: Significant racial/ethnic disparity in cirrhosis-related age-standardized mortality rates was noted prepandemic but widened during the pandemic, with the highest excess YPLL for the non-Hispanic American Indian/American Native (2020: 41.0%; 2021: 68.8%) followed by other minority groups (28.7%-45.1%), and the non-Hispanic White the lowest (2020: 20.7%; 2021: 31.6%). COVID-19 constituted >30% of the excess YPLLs for Hispanic and non-Hispanic American Indian/American Native in 2020, compared with 11.1% for non-Hispanic White. DISCUSSION: Ethnic minorities with cirrhosis experienced a disproportionate excess death and YPLLs in 2020-2021.

Excess Non-COVID Mortality Among IBD Decedents During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Methods: This serial population-based analysis included data from the CDC’s National Vital Statistics System on IBD decedents aged ≥25 years from 1/1/06 to 12/31/21. The rise in neoplasm-related non-COVID deaths and mortality rates prior to hospital arrival during the pandemic suggests that indirect effects of the pandemic, such as delayed presentation, likely exacerbated healthcare disparities and adversely impacted timely interventions and care. Subgroup Analyses of Observed COVID, Non-COVID, and Predicted Age-Standardized Mortality Rates Among IBD Decedents Stratification Group Year COVID ASMRs Non-COVID ASMRs Predicted ASMRs with 95% CI Age UC 25-64 years 2020 0.01 0.20* 0.17 [0.15-0.19] 2021 0.03 0.18 0.17 [0.15-0.19] ≥65 years 2020 0.28 2.31 2.30 [2.01-2.58] 2021 0.28 2.53 2.45 [2.04-2.86] CD 25-64 years 2020 0.02 0.46 0.42 [0.37-0.47] 2021 0.04 0.46 0.45 [0.38-0.52] ≥65 years 2020 0.25 2.95 2.79 [2.46-3.12] 2021 0.33 3.15 2.87 [2.49-3.25] Sex UC Male 2020 0.07 0.70 0.68 [0.62-0.75] 2021 0.09 0.69 0.70 [0.63-0.78] Females 2020 0.06 0.54 0.53 [0.44-0.61] 2021 0.07 0.60 0.57 [0.44-0.70] CD Males 2020 0.06 0.94 0.93 [0.83-1.04] 2021 0.11 0.99 1.01 [0.86-1.16] Females 2020 0.06 0.95 0.90 [0.78-1.02] 2021 0.09 0.99 0.94 [0.76-1.12] Race UC Hispanics 2020 0.04 0.26 0.23 [0.07-0.38] Non-Hispanic whites 2020 0.07 0.71 0.71 [0.63-0.78] Non-Hispanic blacks 2020 0.02 0.39 0.41 [0.29-0.52] CD Hispanics 2020 0.03 0.27 0.27 [0.08-0.47] Non-Hispanic whites 2020 0.07 1.15 1.12 [0.99-1.25] Non-Hispanic blacks 2020 0.06 0.75* 0.55 [0.41-0.70] * Signifies statistical significance ASMRs are per 100,000 persons.

Excess diabetes mellitus-related deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States.

Background: Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a critical risk factor for severe SARS-CoV-2 infection, and SARS-CoV-2 infection contributes to worsening glycemic control. The COVID-19 pandemic profoundly disrupted the delivery of care for patients with diabetes. We aimed to determine the trend of DM-related deaths during the pandemic. Methods: In this serial population-based study between January 1, 2006 and December 31, 2021, mortality data of decedents aged ≥25 years from the National Vital Statistics System dataset was analyzed. Decedents with DM as the underlying or contributing cause of death on the death certificate were defined as DM-related deaths. Excess deaths were estimated by comparing observed versus expected age-standardized mortality rates derived from mortality during 2006-2019 with linear and polynomial regression models. The trends of mortality were quantified with joinpoint regression analysis. Subgroup analyses were performed by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and state. Findings: Among 4·25 million DM-related deaths during 2006-2021, there was a significant surge of more than 30% in mortality during the pandemic, from 106·8 (per 100,000 persons) in 2019 to 144·1 in 2020 and 148·3 in 2021. Adults aged 25-44 years had the most pronounced rise in mortality. Widened racial/ethnic disparity was observed, with Hispanics demonstrating the highest excess deaths (67·5%; 95% CI 60·9-74·7%), almost three times that of non-Hispanic whites (23·9%; 95% CI 21·2-26·7%). Interpretation: The United States saw an increase in DM-related mortality during the pandemic. The disproportionate rise in young adults and the widened racial/ethnic disparity warrant urgent preventative interventions from diverse stakeholders. Funding: National Natural Science Foundation of China.

The Epidemiological, Clinical Features and Outcomes of Imported Chinese COVID-19 Patients Following Inactivated Vaccines Injection.

Background: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) vaccination had been demonstrated as an effective way to reduce the risk of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), and only a few vaccines suffered from SARS-CoV-2 infection. However, limited data concerning the clinical features of these vaccines infected with SARS-CoV-2 can be identified. Methods: We retrospectively collected and analyzed epidemiological and clinical characteristics data of the imported COVID-19 cases who received Chinese inactivated vaccines abroad. Data were extracted from electronic medical records from a designated hospital in the Shaanxi Province of China between March 22 and May 17, 2021. Results: Totally, 46 confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection patients were enrolled. The mean age was 40.5 years (range 20-61), 41 (89.1%) are male. Eighteen (39.1%) patients were from Pakistan. Fourteen (30.4%) patients had at least one comorbidity. Forty (87.0%) and 6 cases were fully vaccinated and partly vaccinated. The time interval between vaccination and infection was 88 days (IQR, 33-123), 31 (67.4%) and 15 (32.6%) were asymptomatic and symptomatic cases, respectively. Fever (3/46, 6.5%) was the most common symptom; however, none had a body temperature higher than 38.0°C, and no severe case was observed. Notably, the rate of SARS-CoV-2 shedding discontinuation at 7 days after hospitalization in asymptomatic cases was higher than symptomatic one (93.5% vs 40%, P < 0.0001). Conclusion: Individuals who received Chinese inactivated vaccines abroad remain to have the probability of being infected with SARS-CoV-2, but all the vaccines infected with SARS-CoV-2 were asymptomatic or had mild symptoms with favorable clinical outcomes.